Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 1.376807 1.589047 1.822621 2.098686 2.416033 2.769407 3.192790
2025-04-27 1.121455 1.408548 1.751360 2.190674 2.738669 3.399770 4.258250
2025-05-04 0.924502 1.250002 1.667285 2.241010 3.009250 4.002644 5.385708
2025-05-11 0.767397 1.108248 1.573809 2.255370 3.227474 4.564438 6.544659
2025-05-18 0.626405 0.960283 1.443247 2.191577 3.321518 4.964398 7.537230
2025-05-25 0.507105 0.820996 1.299468 2.080245 3.322028 5.221193 8.350038
2025-06-01 0.435849 0.741860 1.231260 2.068671 3.465330 5.702376 9.562475
2025-06-08 0.372787 0.664791 1.153111 2.026340 3.548403 6.093024 10.676291
2025-06-15 0.347205 0.646441 1.167931 2.139240 3.902570 6.969262 12.715480
2025-06-22 0.313899 0.608762 1.143073 2.177319 4.128434 7.650452 14.500298
2025-06-29 0.277733 0.559949 1.090670 2.156257 4.241197 8.140126 15.995690
2025-07-06 0.237208 0.496420 1.001554 2.052014 4.180511 8.297871 16.878891
2025-07-13 0.219456 0.476914 0.997008 2.117610 4.469766 9.177587 19.329233
2025-07-20 0.207252 0.467129 1.010685 2.222666 4.854773 10.299079 22.430944
2025-07-27 0.191941 0.448258 1.002810 2.281194 5.150904 11.279203 25.377508
2025-08-03 0.175170 0.423452 0.978559 2.300277 5.364016 12.112210 28.123385
2025-08-10 0.154578 0.386504 0.921957 2.237810 5.385019 12.529417 29.998766
2025-08-17 0.133529 0.345035 0.848848 2.125611 5.273785 12.632992 31.161562
2025-08-24 0.121315 0.323491 0.819688 2.114647 5.401927 13.304276 33.763052
2025-08-31 0.108774 0.299112 0.780091 2.071885 5.445559 13.779870 35.951751
2025-09-07 0.105621 0.299008 0.801355 2.187608 5.906260 15.332160 41.059055
2025-09-14 0.098973 0.288353 0.793877 2.226726 6.173310 16.433891 45.155466
2025-09-21 0.090336 0.270764 0.765507 2.205303 6.275683 17.125774 48.262543